2–1
Aston Villa v Man City
Probabilities for every modelled market. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Probabilities are estimates; no outcome is certain.
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa to win | 19% | 5.40 | mkt 19% |
| Draw | 21% | 4.70 | mkt 21% |
| Man City to win | 60% | 1.66 | mkt 60% |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.51 |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Not both teams to score | 42% | 2.38 |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.35 |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.71 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa to score | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Aston Villa not to score | 35% | 2.84 |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Man City to score | 85% | 1.18 | |
| Man City not to score | 15% | 6.60 |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa over 1.5 goals | 34% | 2.90 | |
| Aston Villa under 1.5 goals | 66% | 1.53 |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Man City over 1.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Man City under 1.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 |
Last meetings
- Aston Villa v Man City2–1 · 2026-10-24
- Man City v Aston Villa1–2 · 2026-05-24
- Aston Villa v Man City1–0 · 2025-10-26
- Man City v Aston Villa2–1 · 2025-04-22
- Aston Villa v Man City2–1 · 2024-12-21
- Man City v Aston Villa4–1 · 2024-04-03