0–1
Derby v Stoke
Probabilities for every modelled market. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Probabilities are estimates; no outcome is certain.
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby to win | 32% | 3.10 | mkt 32% |
| Draw | 28% | 3.63 | mkt 28% |
| Stoke to win | 40% | 2.49 | mkt 40% |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Not both teams to score | 43% | 2.34 |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27% | 3.70 |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.09 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby to score | 75% | 1.33 | |
| Derby not to score | 25% | 4.00 |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke to score | 71% | 1.40 | |
| Stoke not to score | 29% | 3.48 |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby over 1.5 goals | 37% | 2.68 | |
| Derby under 1.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke over 1.5 goals | 31% | 3.21 | |
| Stoke under 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 |
Last meetings
- Derby v Stoke0–1 · 2026-10-17
- Derby v Stoke2–0 · 2026-04-06
- Stoke v Derby3–1 · 2025-08-09
- Derby v Stoke0–0 · 2025-05-03
- Stoke v Derby2–1 · 2024-11-02
- Stoke v Derby1–2 · 2021-12-30