1–2
Barcelona v Real Madrid
Probabilities for every modelled market. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Probabilities are estimates; no outcome is certain.
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona to win | 59% | 1.68 | mkt 59% |
| Draw | 16% | 6.43 | mkt 16% |
| Real Madrid to win | 25% | 3.98 | mkt 25% |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.37 |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Not both teams to score | 29% | 3.41 |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12% | 8.20 |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona to score | 95% | 1.06 | |
| Barcelona not to score | 5% | 18.30 |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid to score | 73% | 1.37 | |
| Real Madrid not to score | 27% | 3.68 |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | |
| Barcelona under 1.5 goals | 30% | 3.34 |
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid over 1.5 goals | 35% | 2.87 | |
| Real Madrid under 1.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 |
Last meetings
- Barcelona v Real Madrid1–2 · 2026-10-25
- Barcelona v Real Madrid2–0 · 2026-05-10
- Real Madrid v Barcelona2–1 · 2025-10-26
- Barcelona v Real Madrid4–3 · 2025-05-11
- Real Madrid v Barcelona0–4 · 2024-10-26
- Real Madrid v Barcelona3–2 · 2024-04-21